Quick Answer: Mortgage rates in September 2025 are easing to around 6.5%, making homes in Belton and Temple more affordable than this summer. For first-time buyers and upsizers alike, acting now could lock in savings before competition increases.
After climbing to nearly 7% this summer, 30-year fixed mortgage rates in Texas have dropped to about 6.5% as the Federal Reserve signals rate cuts later this fall [Bankrate].
While that’s still higher than the sub-4% rates buyers enjoyed just a few years ago, it’s enough of a decline to restore affordability for many buyers in Belton and Temple.
For context:
A $300,000 home at 7% → ~$1,996/month (principal & interest)
A $300,000 home at 6.5% → ~$1,896/month
That’s $100/month saved just from the recent dip in rates.
Housing affordability is always local. In Belton, median home values are down about 3.7% year-over-year, while Temple has seen a 3.1% price dip [Zillow]. Combined with slightly lower rates, buyers today can get more home for their money than they could just three months ago.
Here’s how it plays out for different buyer types:
Lower rates = lower monthly payments, even on starter homes.
With down payment assistance programs in Texas still active [TSAHC], pairing aid with a 6.5% loan could make homeownership possible sooner.
As a first-time homebuyer specialist, our team can help navigate these programs.
Families looking for larger homes in Temple’s new communities (like The Groves at Lakewood or Dawsons Ranch) benefit from the recent dip in borrowing costs.
Builders may also offer rate buydowns or closing cost incentives to move inventory this fall.
Downsizing buyers in Belton can use equity from their current homes to offset higher borrowing costs.
With smaller homes being promoted under new Texas housing laws, availability is improving [Pew].
For those shopping in Belton’s lakefront or Temple’s custom builds, a 0.5% rate drop translates to thousands saved annually on high-value properties.
As a luxury specialist, we’re seeing more motivated sellers in the high-end market who are willing to negotiate.
Here are the trade-offs:
Reasons to Buy Now
Rates already down from summer highs
Local prices softening in both Belton & Temple
Seasonal advantage: less competition in fall vs. spring rush
Builders offering incentives
Reasons to Wait
Fed may cut rates further this year
More inventory could hit the market in 2026
If prices continue dipping, waiting could mean more options
👉 The real question: Will rates fall enough to offset the risk of rising home prices when competition heats up again?
Inventory: Still limited — homes in Belton and Temple average ~42 days on market, down from 50 earlier this year [Redfin].
Prices: Trending slightly lower but stabilizing.
Sellers: Becoming more flexible — offering concessions, especially for first-time and luxury buyers.
In other words: buyers today have more negotiating power than they might in spring 2026.
Will mortgage rates drop below 6% in 2025?
Experts predict another dip is possible after the Fed’s expected cut this fall, but rates under 6% may not appear until 2026 [CBS News].
How does a 6.5% rate affect my buying power in Central Texas?
Each 0.5% increase in rates reduces your affordability by about 5%. So, locking at today’s 6.5% instead of waiting and risking 7%+ can save hundreds monthly.
Should I consider an ARM instead of a 30-year fixed?
Adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) can start lower than 6.5%, but they carry reset risks. They can make sense for downsizers or those planning to move again within 5–7 years.
If you’re buying in Belton or Temple, today’s 6.5% rates plus softer pricing may present a smart entry point. Waiting could yield lower rates — but you’ll face stronger competition and possibly higher prices.
📲 As a family-run real estate team, we specialize in guiding first-time homebuyers, upsizers, downsizers, retirees, and luxury buyers through the unique Central Texas market. Whether you’re ready to make a move or still weighing your options, we’ll help you run the numbers and decide with confidence.
Home in Texas Team | Your Family-Run Real Estate Team — First Time Homebuyer & Luxury Specialists, Belton & Temple, TX
Through my business, my involvement in our community, and my dedication to my clients, I have developed a great network of friends and business associates. If you need something, I’ll be able to help….and that’s what I love doing!